Fishing: Luck or Skill?

Each time we see a picture of a grinning angler with a fantastic catch, do we tell ourselves that this is an exceptionally skillful person, or that he is just lucky? Fishing lies somewhere along the continuum between skill-and luck-based activities. At one end we have things like swimming or chess: for any average human being it is hard to imagine that it would be possible to beat Michael Phelps in the pool. At the other end we have purely luck-based events like winning a lottery or lucky draw. In a fair draw, Michael Phelps is no more likely to win than you or I. How much, then, can the catch of a given angler on a given fishing trip be attributed to skill, and how much should be put down t



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